Telecom downturn weighs heavy on Cisco

Daily Newsletters

Sign up to ZDNet UK's daily newsletter.

NEWS
Cisco Systems' stock price hit a 52-week low Monday amid ongoing concerns of an industry-wide slowdown of telecommunications equipment sales. Cisco's shares fell $5.30 to $42.88 Monday, the fifth straight day the company's stock has dropped. Overall, the networking giant's share price has been sliced in half since its 52-week high of $82 in late March, despite Cisco executives' recent predictions of good financial results for the current second quarter and the rest of the fiscal year. Wall Street analysts say Cisco has been hit hard by the recent disclosure in a Securities Exchange Commission filing that the company set aside $275m in a contingency account for possible losses during the first quarter that ended 28 October, up from $75m for the first quarter the previous year. Most analysts say Cisco's decision to up its contingency reserves is not a sign that the company is taking huge financial risks. But they have tied the sum to the ongoing inability for struggling telecommunications service providers to pay their bills. That has been a concern for investors lately, after Cisco competitor Lucent Technologies disclosed two months ago that bad loans to start-up service providers had hurt its quarterly sales. "As Cisco increases its share in the important service provider market, we would not be surprised to see its doubtful account allowance increase modestly," said Merrill Lynch analyst Michael Ching, in a recent report. "However, we would also expect Cisco to manage the increased risk in a manner consistent with its superior financial execution." Morgan Stanley Dean Witter analyst Chris Stix agreed. "We do not view this as a signal that Cisco is seeing increased payment risk," he said in a recent report. Cisco representatives say the reserve is for minority investments, inventory and accounts receivables, a small percentage of which includes customer's inability to pay their bills. Cisco representatives downplayed the increase in reserves, saying it was raised proportionally to the increase in its volume of business. Wall Street analysts blame Cisco's recent stock drop on investors who are fearful of a predicted slowdown in equipment sales to telecommunications service providers and on the increasing number of struggling start-up service providers that could hurt Cisco's results in the future. Cisco has said it has taken a conservative approach by accounting for bills potentially going unpaid, nullifying the impact of such expenses to the bottom line. Both Cisco and executives at competitor Nortel Networks have maintained that Lucent's problems with bad loans are isolated. In October, Lucent announced it increased its short-term reserves for accounts receivables--such as unpaid customer bills -- from $318m last year to $501m, while Nortel raised its short-term reserves from $319m last year to $400m this year for the third quarter that ended 30 September, and its long-term reserves from $284m to $310m. Cisco, Lucent and Nortel representatives said they have separate reserves for potential bad loans to emerging service providers. Some emerging service providers, such as PSINet, ICG Communications and Covad Communications, have been struggling financially, leading Wall Street analysts to predict a slowdown in sales of telecommunications equipment. News.com's Ben Heskett contributed to this report. See techTrader for technology investment news, plus quotes and research. Have your say instantly, and see what others have said. Click on the TalkBack button and go to the ZDNet News forum. Let the editors know what you think in the Mailroom. And read what others have said.

Post your comment

In order to post a comment you need to be registered and logged in.

You can also log in with Facebook. Log in or create your ZDNet UK account below

  • Login

Will not be displayed with your comment

By signing up for this service, you indicate that you agree to our Terms and Conditions and have read and understood our Privacy Policy. Questions about membership? Find the answers in the Community FAQ

Get ZDNet UK's daily newsletter

Enter your email address to sign up

ZDNet UK Live

45283

I think WinRT is fantastic. I just wish it was an option for people that didn't want to go through Microsoft's App Store with its attendant...

3 hours ago by 45283 on Why Windows 8 needs architectural hygiene for WOA
Burn-IT

Nine people? £30m? Who's back pocket is that lot going in? And IF they say it is for new buildings, what about all the ones the government has...

4 hours ago by Burn-IT on Police set to launch three £30m e-crime hubs
ewallace

Just to be clear, nobody knows what is in the text of ACTA, here is a photograph of the text of ACTA http://twitpic.com/8h9iju as submitted to the...

4 hours ago by ewallace on ACTA: Facts, misconceptions and questions
fgvrg56

Unfortunately main issue is that ASUS is refusing to accept that they make some mistake on this version of asus Transformer prime. 1 - GPS sensor...

5 hours ago by fgvrg56 on Asus Eee Pad Transformer Prime Wi-Fi & GPS problems?
Ben Woods

@Marcus A fair question. Just talked with Archos which said it was working on an announcement for next week....

6 hours ago by Ben Woods on Archos confirms G9 Ice Cream Sandwich update schedule
Marcus Karlsson

Any update on this, considering the claimed "first week of February"?

7 hours ago by Marcus Karlsson via Facebook on Archos confirms G9 Ice Cream Sandwich update schedule
apexwm

Bill Goodrich : Just as al_langevin pointed out, with Windows Server 2008 there is no Services for Macintosh anymore. It's gone, not available....

16 hours ago by apexwm on Windows Server 2008 drops the ball for Mac compatibility
txtrainguy

Replying to an old topic that I'm currently facing with my CEO (who is on a Mac). Our servers are primarily Windows Servers, office is about...

22 hours ago by txtrainguy on Windows Server 2008 drops the ball for Mac compatibility
k0tcs3

Sure, that makes perfect sense. Pay wrong-doers money and thank them for breaching your security and pointing out your flaws, that would surely...

23 hours ago by k0tcs3 on US indicts Romanian over NASA climate change hack
Random_Error

I think he's referring specifically to Android apps, as Apple do regulate their App Store, but Google seem to let any old crap onto the Android store!

23 hours ago by Random_Error on RIM: BlackBerry will keep 'garbage' apps out of store
Paul Fezziwig

Keep the crap apps out?! How will they compete with Android and Apple's claim to fame of having so many life changing apps? I wonder if the media...

1 day ago by Paul Fezziwig via Facebook on RIM: BlackBerry will keep 'garbage' apps out of store
Aigars Mahinovs

It has been shown time after time that if there is an author store that sells the songs at even 1$ per song and gives you a high-quality digital...

1 day ago by Aigars Mahinovs via Facebook on Copyright isn't working, says European Commission
awbMaven

""As a result of Butyka's alleged conduct, researchers were unable to use the computers for more than two months while NASA removed the malicious...

1 day ago by awbMaven on US indicts Romanian over NASA climate change hack
subhorup

It simultaneously worries me and uplifts me that a self-proclaimed group of internet activists name themselves after Indian mythical figures....

2 days ago by subhorup on Anonymous activists release PCAnywhere source code
naviathan

It's actually far easier to work anonymously on the internet than you think. With tools like Tor bouncing your traffic around the world before...

2 days ago by naviathan on Anonymous activists release PCAnywhere source code
Agnostic_OS

1000272134 and bluedalmatian with you both there but then I'm still in 10.04 land (and happy with it)

2 days ago by Agnostic_OS on Ten factors that make Ubuntu 11.10 a hit
apexwm

Interesting article and definitely see your points on the products mentioned. One of the top products for our Help Desk (approximately 20% of all...

2 days ago by apexwm on Ten flawed products that derail productivity
Paul Hutchinson

Absolutely - this should obviously not be handled my isp - but handled by their hosting operator. What's been suggested here is that my isp police...

2 days ago by Paul Hutchinson via Facebook on MPs urge ISPs to take down terrorist material
Techs UK

Looks like a great phone. I don't notice any deficiencies in WP7. used IOS before, that's pretty good. I don't spend much time in Apps, all i need...

2 days ago by Techs UK on Nokia pins US 're-entry' hopes on Lumia 900
Larry Bloggy

Now with the help of these apps you are always synced with MS outlook while on the move. Just download apps like xobni or outlookreflex and get...

2 days ago by Larry Bloggy via Facebook on Outlook Social Connector beta 2 and the LinkedIn connector