Longhorn: If they build it, will anyone come?

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The company is also looking to bring back some old ideas. It's working on a technology called "info-cards" in which consumers could securely store information that is to be shared with online commerce sites. Based on the WS-* Web services architecture, info-cards will help customers manage multiple identities, Microsoft said, much as people have multiple cards in their wallet: credit cards, bank cards and membership cards.

In many ways, the idea is a throwback to Microsoft's Passport authentication programme, which met with only tepid interest from e-commerce companies and others. The software maker said it is talking with partners but would not say who it might have lined up in support of the info card plan.

DiDio said she sees an opportunity for Microsoft to expand the info card idea beyond the consumer and use it as part of an improved identity management option for businesses. She notes that one of the few bright spots for Novell in its recent financial report was the nearly $60m the company pulled in from its new identity management product.

"Clearly you are going to see them expand on the idea of the info card," she said. "They always start with the consumer stuff and then go up to the server."

Keep it simple
Gartner's Silver said Microsoft should also make sure the upgrade process is as painless as possible, since many people are content with Windows XP. As a model, he pointed to a new compatibility tool Microsoft developed for XP Service Pack 2. The software tool works with machines that have not yet been updated to identify programs and behaviours that could be a problem once a machine is brought up to date.

"I think it's a good example of what they really need," he said. "OS upgrades are one of the more painful things people do. It's like ripping out your pipes every four years."

Though Microsoft has been quiet for many months about Longhorn, Gartenberg said he doesn't think that's necessarily a bad thing.

"Before you can start generating enthusiasm, you have to figure out what you are generating enthusiasm for," he said.

During the next 18 months, though, Microsoft will have to start gradually building its case for Longhorn.

"That's the challenge — to start getting the right people excited about it, without slowing down the wrong people, that is, the people just now deploying Windows XP, or SP2 on top of Windows XP."

Talkback

How many people actually set out to buy XP in the first place? XP was installed by default on most new PCs, and people have bought a lot of PCs in the last 4 years.

I imagine Longhorn will be sold by exactly the same means, and Microsoft will claim it to be a resounding success.

via Facebook 1 April, 2005 21:37
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In short. The idea of having your company go through some sort of total migration project once every three, four or five years to then cool things down for several years seems to be a thing of the past. Because now it looks like you'll either wait until all Microsoft phases are proven and keep what you have mostly until then. Or you jump through all the hoops each and every time Microsoft delivers the next phase while running most things in some sort of downwards compatibility mode in the mean time. Or you say bullocks to all that and start looking for lasting alternatives. In other words: there are though decisions to be made. Certainly at the company level.

If companies think that the above is worth a 7.6 on the security scale in favour of Microsoft then they either forget to have a detailed birds eye view over time or they're easily satisfied.

Given that, as usual, the promised benefits of migrating to Microsoft's latest and greatest (just not fully available just yet) are historicly proven never delivered at the very beginning but rather more or less at the end after huge investments have already been made. And it looks like significant time will pass between the first and final (complete) delivery of Longhorn. That way it could easily become a five, six year long total business commitment before the end results are in.

via Facebook 1 April, 2005 23:59
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I haven't even upgraded to Svc pack 2 on xp.. why?
DRM and other "Shinanigans" MS is placing in
windows other than "upgrades". Longhorn is going
to be even worse on 3rd party developers etc. and
the era of free use on a PC is coming to an end because of MS. Buy Longhorn... NOT!!

via Facebook 3 April, 2005 23:27
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Why use the DiDiot as a quote in any article? It is well known that the "Yankee Group" is a mouthpiece for Microsoft. You might as well say that "an MS PR company said..."

Yankee are about as independant of MS as the Inland Revenue are independant of the taxman!

via Facebook 4 April, 2005 15:25
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