Price hikes pay off for Microsoft

Daily Newsletters

Sign up to ZDNet UK's daily newsletter.

NEWS
Microsoft's revenue rose 10 percent in the fourth quarter, thanks in part to increased sales of Windows XP and a new, somewhat controversial corporate licensing plan. The company reported earnings on Thursday of $1.53bn (£967m), or 28 cents a share, compared with $66m, or 1 cent a share a year earlier. For fiscal 2002, Microsoft earned $7.83bn, or $1.41 a share, compared to $11.72bn, or $1.32 per share, a year earlier. Both periods ended on 30 June. Excluding an $806m charge to cover investment impairment, Microsoft would have posted earnings of $2.87bn, or 43 cents a share, for the quarter and $11.91bn, or $1.94 per share, for the year. A consensus of analysts polled by First Call anticipated earnings of 42 cents per share for the fourth quarter and $1.83 per share for the year. Fourth-quarter revenue grew 10 percent to $7.25bn, up from $6.58 bn a year earlier. For the year, sales topped $28.37bn, up from $25.3bn in 2001. Analysts had expected fourth-quarter revenue to be around $7.06bn and $28.25bn for the year. In April, Microsoft projected quarterly revenue between $7bn and $7.1bn, and $28.1bn to $28.2bn for the year. During a conference call with financial analysts, Microsoft Chief Financial Officer John Connors credited the quarterly success as well as the year's success to strong sales of Windows XP, Xbox, MSN and server products. Despite "weak PC demand and corporate IT spending, Microsoft was able to deliver extremely solid operating results from a revenue and operating profits statement," he said. As expected, Microsoft offered new guidance for the first quarter and fiscal 2003, both which started on July 1. The company projects revenue between $7bn and $7.1bn, with earnings of around 41 to 42 cents per share. For the year, Microsoft estimates revenue would be between $31.4bn and $32bn, with earnings per share in the $1.85 to $1.91 range. In April, the software titan projected revenue of between $31.5bn and $32.4bn and earnings of $1.89 to $1.92 per share for fiscal 2003. Despite the weak economy, some analysts remain bullish on Microsoft as it enters fiscal 2003. "Our EPS (earnings per share) estimate of $2.04 is well above company guidance and the consensus estimate of $1.92 based on our assessment of the (fiscal year 2003) impact of the current upgrade cycle and pricing changes, the timing of an IT spending recovery and the strength of Microsoft's .Net Web services strategy," Bernstein analyst Charles Di Bona wrote in a Wednesday research note. During fiscal 2003, Microsoft is expected to release many important software upgrades and major building blocks for its Web services strategy, including the expected release of .Net Server, Windows Media 9 Series Edition, Exchange Server, Windows Media Center Edition and Tablet PC. In another Wednesday research note, Merrill Lynch analyst Christopher Shilakes expressed cautious optimism about fiscal 2003. Both Shilakes and Di Bona predicted Microsoft's stock could reach $65 within 12 months. Di Bona noted Microsoft "is currently trading at or near its lowest levels in the past 10 years." Microsoft shares on Thursday fell 89 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $51.11, before the earnings report was announced. Licensing changes windfall
As expected, a last-minute spending spree by larger businesses buoyed the current quarter and greatly added to the amount of unearned revenue on Microsoft's balance sheet. Microsoft entered the quarter with about two-thirds of eligible companies waiting to sign onto a controversial new licensing programme ahead of an important 31 July deadline. Microsoft closed the quarter with unearned revenue of $7.74bn, compared with $5.61bn a year earlier. Unearned revenue is revenue that is secured through contract but not yet received. Unearned revenue for desktop applications, such as Office, was $3.49bn compared with $2.19bn a year ago. PC versions of Windows unearned revenue rose to $3.20bn from $2.59bn year over year. Under the new programme, companies must sign up for a two- to three-year "Software Assurance" maintenance programme to continue receiving discounted upgrades. But in the process, Microsoft also eliminated the most popular means of buying licenses, effectively raising rates between 33 and 107 percent, according to market researcher Gartner. In anticipation of last-minute sign-ups, which would carry additional revenue benefit over into the first month of Microsoft's fiscal year 2003, some analysts had predicted fourth-quarter earnings as high as 46 cents a share. The majority of unearned revenue comes from software licensing, but not all. Microsoft also includes undelivered items, such as technical support in the mix. This later category, for example, accounts for 20 to 25 percent of the Windows XP Home unearned revenue and 10 to 15 percent each for Windows XP Professional and desktop applications. "Growth in unearned revenue on the balance sheet was very strong, up 38 percent year over year and $830 million sequentially, reflecting the large number of annuity agreements signed during the quarter," Scott Boggs, Microsoft's corporate controller. Microsoft's corporate controller predicted $6bn of the $7.74bn in unearned revenue would be realised next year. For the current quarter, recognition of previously deferred licensing income accounted for 20 percent of fourth-quarter revenue. "Unearned revenue for the enterprise software and services business was up an eye-popping 102 percent over last year, as more customers took the opportunity to include more server products in their annuity licenses," Boggs said. The year-over-year increase for desktop applications was 59 percent. But the long-term impact of the licensing programme remains uncertain, with at least one-third of eligible customers refusing to sign up. On Tuesday, Jeff Parker, president and co-founder of research firm Directions on Microsoft, warned Microsoft could face trouble ahead. "Software Assurance could boost Microsoft's bottom line in the short run, as customers rush to get into the programme on favourable terms by 31 July," he said. "But a crunch may come two to three years from now, when the bulk of Software Assurance memberships begin to expire, if customers feel they didn't get their money's worth and decide not to renew." In a broader context, some analysts charge the licensing rate hikes, which affected a disproportionately large number of businesses because of massive Windows and Office market share, may have hurt new computer sales. Microsoft's "complex new licensing agreements (31 July) deadline have also contributed to stalling PC demand," said US Bancorp Piper Jaffray analyst Ashok Kumar. "Domestically, demand appears stable though CIOs remain focused on reducing cash burn." PC shipments dropped slightly for the second quarter, marking the fifth-consecutive quarterly decline, IDC revealed on Thursday. Segments a mixed bag
Internationally, the South Pacific and the Americas accounted for $2.98bn in sales compared with $2.66bn a year ago and $2.76bn in the third quarter; regional sales rose 12 percent year over year. Revenue for Europe, the Middle East and Africa was $1.22bn, compared with $1.15bn a year earlier and $1.39bn in the third quarter. Asia saw revenue fall 9 percent to $704m from $777m in fourth quarter of 2001; sales were $818m in the previous quarter. Original equipment manufacturer ( OEM) revenue reached $2.34bn compared with $2bn a year earlier and the third quarter's $2.29bn. Combined revenue for desktop and server software and services revenue rose 8 percent to $5.84bn from $6.32bn a year earlier. Revenue for the segment topped $6bn in the third quarter. Desktop application revenue reached $2.52bn, up from $2.51bn a year earlier and $2.44bn sequentially. Windows desktop sales topped $2.44bn, up 20 percent from $2.04bn a year earlier; revenue was $2.29bn in the third quarter. Higher sales of Windows 2000 and Windows XP Professional greatly contributed to the sales increase. Enterprise software sales reached $1.35bn, up from $1.29bn year over year and from $1.28bn sequentially. Sales in the consumer software, services and devices group, which includes Internet access, online services and the Xbox game console, rose to $822m from $509m a year earlier. Revenue from consumer commerce investments, which includes HomeAdvisor and CarPoint, reached $13m, compared to $96m a year earlier and $45m in the third quarter.
See the Finance News Section for the latest financial news in the high-tech sector. Have your say instantly, and see what others have said. Go to the Finance forum. Let the editors know what you think in the Mailroom.

Post your comment

In order to post a comment you need to be registered and logged in.

You can also log in with Facebook. Log in or create your ZDNet UK account below

  • Login

Will not be displayed with your comment

By signing up for this service, you indicate that you agree to our Terms and Conditions and have read and understood our Privacy Policy. Questions about membership? Find the answers in the Community FAQ

Get ZDNet UK's daily newsletter

Enter your email address to sign up

ZDNet UK Live

tinycg

Don't forget to check out apps like GoodReader or SlideShark either, they're indispensible for people on the go in presentation situations. Best...

1 hour ago by tinycg on Four top iPad apps for people on the move
TerryRK

Well it seems there is something a number of us agree on. Why is the Ubuntu Unity launcher so ugly? I thought perhaps it was something to do with...

6 hours ago by TerryRK on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
Freebies202

Duplicate comments are not made intentionally. Its very good to know that now you are keeping check on this problem because sometimes a commenter...

15 hours ago by Freebies202 on Microsoft fixes blog comments, speeds up blogs with open source
kevinmchapman

"the very significant number of users" and "many (most) of us" - you have no evidence for these statements. It is a fact that most users are saying...

23 hours ago by kevinmchapman on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
Marg Menzies Harrison

Another grammar faux pas is the improper use of "you". When sitting down down in a restaurant, for example, I get cringe when the waitress...

1 day ago by Marg Menzies Harrison via Facebook on 10 flagrant grammar mistakes that make you look stupid
zdnetukuser

And NOW, folks, for Canonical's next trick... Kubuntu is late. Here's a pencil. Draw your own conclusions. cf.:...

1 day ago by zdnetukuser on Linux Minterface
Moley

@kevinmchapman. The discussion here reflects the very significant number of users who really do like the traditional menu system and who wish to...

1 day ago by Moley on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
kevinmchapman

Er, no... It is an efficient means of finding the application/file/setting you need in one place. The icons are a simply a fallback for when you...

1 day ago by kevinmchapman on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
TerryRK

Isn't the provision of a text based search an admission by the developers that the mass of icons approach does not work? I don't need to use a...

1 day ago by TerryRK on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
kevinmchapman

"Unity and GNOME 3 both abandon the old text-based cascading menus in favour of a graphical icon-driven system." Point truly missed. Both use a...

1 day ago by kevinmchapman on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
TerryRK

whs001 - Thank you, I'm glad you liked the article. I absolutely agree with you on your first point. I should perhaps have made it clearer that...

1 day ago by TerryRK on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
Dennis Nilsson

If we allow corporate interest to dictate the way our government circumvents due process against foreign entities then we should accept the same...

1 day ago by Dennis Nilsson via Facebook on ACTA stumbles in Germany
GHar123

I totally dislike pirating of works, I fear that artists will be deterred from creating works if they think that they are going to get ripped off....

1 day ago by GHar123 on ACTA stumbles in Germany
JCB33

How dare film makers, artists or anybody that invests in creativity stop us pirating their works for free. I want to be able to walk into my local...

2 days ago by JCB33 on ACTA stumbles in Germany
Moley

@GrueMaster. I prefer horses for courses rather than one size fits all. I, and I suspect most other computer users, do not really wish to have...

2 days ago by Moley on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
greycynic

The product that scares me every time I have to use it is the Office 2007 version of Excel. The first bug that I found was applying the median...

2 days ago by greycynic on Ten flawed products that derail productivity
GrueMaster

Nice review and very informative. One thing I'd like to add (in reply to whs001's 1st question), the main reason to have the same interface from...

2 days ago by GrueMaster on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
Frederick Wrigley

I'be been using Mint 12 since the RC came out, and I am far more happy with the Cinnamon, the Mate, and, yes (with extensions), theGnome 3...

2 days ago by Frederick Wrigley via Facebook on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
bdantas

Excellent article. One small correction, though--although a fresh installation of Linux Mint 12 will, indeed, provide the user with a version of...

2 days ago by bdantas on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
Alan Ralph

In related news, the ISPs club together to get the members of the Home Affairs Select Committee (ya goofed on that part, ZDNet UK) copies of "The...

2 days ago by Alan Ralph via Facebook on MPs urge ISPs to take down terrorist material