PeopleSoft beats estimates

NEWS
PeopleSoft has posted fourth-quarter revenue that beat analyst estimates and raised its 2004 earnings guidance on Thursday, continuing a streak of strong quarters that may make Oracle's quest to buy the company more difficult.

Fuelled by its acquisition of J.D. Edwards, PeopleSoft reported fourth-quarter revenue of $685m (£378m), a 34 percent increase over the same quarter a year prior. The company surpassed analysts' estimates compiled by First Call of the $654m in revenue for the quarter, which ended on 31 December.

Fourth-quarter earnings per share were 20 cents on a pro forma basis, which was in line with First Call's estimate, and licence revenue was $185m, hitting the company's own previous targets. Under generally accepted accounting principals, earnings per share were 5 cents per share. Executives noted that it was the first quarter in which PeopleSoft reported its earnings in full combination with J.D. Edwards, a rival that the company acquired last fall.

PeopleSoft chief executive Craig Conway called the financial results "very strong" and said the company enters 2004 on solid footing. "I feel very optimistic as I look out over all of 2004," Conway said.

He also said that rival Oracle was losing ground in the business applications market. "I think the win rate for Oracle has eroded for the past three years now," Conway said. "They've gotten weaker and weaker."

In the software industry, win rates refer to the number of deals a company signs in relation to the number for which they compete.

Oracle, on the other hand, claims PeopleSoft is losing market share. "PeopleSoft's business continue to shrink; Oracle's continues to grow," Oracle spokeswoman Jennifer Glass said in response to Conway's comments.

Indicating that the company has suffered, Conway said PeopleSoft would have had a better year had it not been for the distractions and market uncertainty created by the Oracle bid. The company's public sector sales have been cut in half, he said, citing a $60m deal with the city of Los Angeles that was put on hold after Oracle launched its buyout offer. "That's a very painful consequence of the Oracle situation," Conway said.

During the teleconference, PeopleSoft chief financial officer Kevin Parker railed against Oracle's "hostile takeover attempt" as an effort to buy PeopleSoft "on the cheap." He said PeopleSoft has fully cooperated with antitrust authorities reviewing the Oracle bid and lambasted Oracle's choice of replacement directors for its board.

PeopleSoft has pulled some deft manoeuvres in its efforts to block Oracle. One of them is a money-back guarantee programme for PeopleSoft customers that would make Oracle or anyone else that acquired PeopleSoft liable for refund payments. Parker said that liability grew to $1.55bn in the fourth quarter, up $740m since the end of the third quarter.

Parker said that while the company was already realising financial benefits from merging with J.D. Edwards, many of the cost-saving "synergies" are yet to come. That and a number of other factors, including improving economic conditions, led the company to raise its projections for this year's earnings per share on a pro forma basis. PeopleSoft expects to post full-year earnings per share of 92 cents to 95 cents on revenue of $2.8bn to $2.9bn. First Call estimates called for of 89 cents on $2.8bn in revenue.

Yet PeopleSoft expects a 25 percent to 30 percent decline in revenue for the current quarter, which ends on 31 March, due to seasonal shifts in business spending, Parker said. The company expects to earn 17 cents to 18 cents per share on a pro forma basis on $625m to $635m in revenue, with license revenue of $130m to $140m. The company also expects to spend $12m to $15m in its fight against Oracle, Parker said.

The company has completed the staff cuts planned as a result of the merger, Parker said. PeopleSoft cut in the range of 750 and 1,000 jobs as projected, eliminating 575 positions in the fourth-quarter, he said. "We're almost complete with that process and anticipate no further reductions," he said.

Conway and Parker said they were encouraged by several trends in their business over the quarter. One was a rise in customer relationship management (CRM) and supply chain management software sales. The company, whose mainstay has been its expertise in human resources systems, has sought to expand its market share in those other niches against rivals SAP, Oracle and Siebel Systems.

Of its five largest deals during the quarter -- each more than $1m -- none involved the sale of human resources software, Conway said. PeopleSoft's largest CRM software deal during the quarter was to IBM, which is also one of Siebel's biggest accounts, Conway said.

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