Whitebox vendors in the Asia-Pacific region may back the decision by One Laptop per Child to open up its design, according to research analyst IDC.
However, multinational PC makers will continue their focus on mini-notebooks, Reuben Tan, IDC's senior manager for personal systems research in the Asia-Pacific region, told ZDNet Asia in a telephone interview.
Earlier this month, OLPC founder Nicholas Negroponte announced the organisation's intention to open-source its hardware design and invite commercial PC makers to copy it. In an email interview with ZDNet Asia, Negroponte said OLPC intends to make open as many aspects of its next-generation XO laptop as possible.
Negroponte added that the organisation is also working to improve features in netbooks. Current products, he pointed out, lack three design features: low power equal to or below 2W; ruggedness and the ability to be repaired easily; and displays that are readable in sunlight. Such features could be made available by "non-traditional vendors".
IDC's Tan noted the OLPC has seen successes in Latin America but penetration is "very low" in regions such as the Asia-Pacific. Mini-notebooks, or netbooks, which emerged after OLPC's XO laptops came onto the global scene, have on the other hand "ramped up quite a lot" in the region.
While the OLPC's endeavour is likely to attract some interest from local manufacturers and lead to the vendors incorporating "some of the OLPC designs into their own skills", there is also the challenge of keeping costs down.
"If there's going to be traction, I'd say it comes primarily from local whitebox vendors in various countries that have existing desktop or nettop lines and which are looking to diversify into the portable area," said Tan. But even so, these manufacturers need to focus on the rural areas of emerging markets, he said.
Big multinational PC vendors, such as HP and Dell, will continue to focus strongly on the mini-notebook market, said Tan. "There's already that competition in a way...[as] variants of OLPC start to come into the market."
"'What is the target market for this particular product?' and 'Will it be competing with mini-notebooks out there?' — those will be the questions which these big PC vendors will be asking," he added.
According to Tan, vendors will be most interested in copying OLPC's price and optimised operating system — a gap that has not been properly addressed in the mini-notebook market yet.
HP did not respond to ZDNet Asia's queries at the time of writing. A Dell spokesperson told ZDNet Asia the company does not believe in a "one-size-fits-all approach", adding that user demands differ according to markets or need. A Lenovo spokesperson said it was "premature to comment" as the company does not have details on the OLPC offering.
