The Day Ahead: Ciena, Sycamore stoke fibre optic love affair

Daily Newsletters

Sign up to ZDNet UK's daily newsletter.

NEWS
Aside from the obviously huge market opportunity, investors just love new companies that can go from zero to profit in about three quarters. Sure, you could argue the optical networking crowd is overvalued, but you can't quibble about the results. That's why investors are jumping all over new fibre optic companies such as New Focus and the soon-to-be-public ONI Systems. Ciena one of the old guys on the optical networking block, topped estimates in its fiscal second quarter with earnings of 12 cents a share, two pennies above consensus. But the real story is the top line growth. Ciena reported sales of $185.7m (£124m), up 66 percent from a year ago. For a bit of context, Lehman Brothers analyst Steven Levy projected sales of about $171m. Not too shabby -- especially since Ciena was dead money 20 months ago. Flashback: In September 1998, Ciena shares were about 13 after Tellabs dumped plans to merge with the company. Bargain hunters willing to take the risk made out pretty well. Ciena makes dense-wavelength division multiplexing (DWDM) systems for use with long-distance fibre-optic telecommunications networks. The company also recorded sales to 22 customers in the second quarter, compared to 13 a year earlier. A diversified customer base is a big deal with the networking crowd. Ciena, which got a revenue boost from a yet-to-be-named customer, also predicted a strong second half. There were a few glitches that could trip up Ciena shares today. Ciena's MultiWave EdgeDirector product hasn't sold as well as expected and won't boost revenue. But the outlook and future revenue from a Qwest Communications contract should offset a lingering concerns. Ciena, which competes with Nortel Networks, Sycamore, Lucent Technologies and Pirelli, which was acquired by Cisco. Not to be outdone by Ciena, Sycamore Networks, which also makes fibre optic networking gear, checked in with third quarter earnings of a nickel a share, excluding charges. First Call's consensus poll of 10 analysts predicted a profit of a 3 cents a share. Revenue was $20m above expectations at $59.2m, up 104 percent from the second quarter. The outlook for Sycamore looks good, but it has to continue to diversify its customer base. Sycamore has eight customers, but Williams Communications Group still generates the majority of sales. Despite Sycamore's results, don't expect a big rally today. The company historically (all of five public quarters) has grown 50 percent to 100 percent a quarter. Don't expect that in the future because of Sycamore's growing revenue base, said CFO Frances Jewels. Worrying because a company can't grow 100 percent a quarter is a bit silly, but Wall Street will do it anyway. Could this optical networking love affair end? Not anytime soon. The demand for fibre optic components is estimated to top $22.5bn by 2003, up from $6.6bn in 1999, according to research firm Ryan, Hankin & Kent. Component company JDS Uniphase upped its revenue target Thursday, and both Nortel and Cisco are betting big on fibre optics. "There's no reason why it won't last," said Levy. "We're in hyper growth." What do you think? Tell the Mailroom. And read what others have said. See ZDII for US tech investor news. See techTrader for more technology investment news, plus quotes and research.

Post your comment

In order to post a comment you need to be registered and logged in.

You can also log in with Facebook. Log in or create your ZDNet UK account below

  • Login

Will not be displayed with your comment

By signing up for this service, you indicate that you agree to our Terms and Conditions and have read and understood our Privacy Policy. Questions about membership? Find the answers in the Community FAQ

Get ZDNet UK's daily newsletter

Enter your email address to sign up

ZDNet UK Live

BrownieBoy

@Jack, > Works really well for thieves.... Nice attempt to deflect the argument by tossing in a point that's totally irrelevant, even it were...

10 hours ago by BrownieBoy on AMD Ultrathins to challenge Intel Ultrabooks
bootlegger

Make that 13 people now - I got refused today at Manchester airport. I thought I was up to date on this legislation - I knew of the EU ruling from...

13 hours ago by bootlegger on UK airport body scans will not be opt out
tinycg

Don't forget to check out apps like GoodReader or SlideShark either, they're indispensible for people on the go in presentation situations. Best...

15 hours ago by tinycg on Four top iPad apps for people on the move
TerryRK

Well it seems there is something a number of us agree on. Why is the Ubuntu Unity launcher so ugly? I thought perhaps it was something to do with...

20 hours ago by TerryRK on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
Freebies202

Duplicate comments are not made intentionally. Its very good to know that now you are keeping check on this problem because sometimes a commenter...

1 day ago by Freebies202 on Microsoft fixes blog comments, speeds up blogs with open source
kevinmchapman

"the very significant number of users" and "many (most) of us" - you have no evidence for these statements. It is a fact that most users are saying...

2 days ago by kevinmchapman on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
Marg Menzies Harrison

Another grammar faux pas is the improper use of "you". When sitting down down in a restaurant, for example, I get cringe when the waitress...

2 days ago by Marg Menzies Harrison via Facebook on 10 flagrant grammar mistakes that make you look stupid
zdnetukuser

And NOW, folks, for Canonical's next trick... Kubuntu is late. Here's a pencil. Draw your own conclusions. cf.:...

2 days ago by zdnetukuser on Linux Minterface
Moley

@kevinmchapman. The discussion here reflects the very significant number of users who really do like the traditional menu system and who wish to...

2 days ago by Moley on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
kevinmchapman

Er, no... It is an efficient means of finding the application/file/setting you need in one place. The icons are a simply a fallback for when you...

2 days ago by kevinmchapman on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
TerryRK

Isn't the provision of a text based search an admission by the developers that the mass of icons approach does not work? I don't need to use a...

2 days ago by TerryRK on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
kevinmchapman

"Unity and GNOME 3 both abandon the old text-based cascading menus in favour of a graphical icon-driven system." Point truly missed. Both use a...

2 days ago by kevinmchapman on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
TerryRK

whs001 - Thank you, I'm glad you liked the article. I absolutely agree with you on your first point. I should perhaps have made it clearer that...

2 days ago by TerryRK on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
Dennis Nilsson

If we allow corporate interest to dictate the way our government circumvents due process against foreign entities then we should accept the same...

2 days ago by Dennis Nilsson via Facebook on ACTA stumbles in Germany
GHar123

I totally dislike pirating of works, I fear that artists will be deterred from creating works if they think that they are going to get ripped off....

2 days ago by GHar123 on ACTA stumbles in Germany
JCB33

How dare film makers, artists or anybody that invests in creativity stop us pirating their works for free. I want to be able to walk into my local...

2 days ago by JCB33 on ACTA stumbles in Germany
Moley

@GrueMaster. I prefer horses for courses rather than one size fits all. I, and I suspect most other computer users, do not really wish to have...

2 days ago by Moley on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
greycynic

The product that scares me every time I have to use it is the Office 2007 version of Excel. The first bug that I found was applying the median...

2 days ago by greycynic on Ten flawed products that derail productivity
GrueMaster

Nice review and very informative. One thing I'd like to add (in reply to whs001's 1st question), the main reason to have the same interface from...

2 days ago by GrueMaster on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint
Frederick Wrigley

I'be been using Mint 12 since the RC came out, and I am far more happy with the Cinnamon, the Mate, and, yes (with extensions), theGnome 3...

2 days ago by Frederick Wrigley via Facebook on A tale of two distros: Ubuntu and Linux Mint